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Asian analysis

Articles: South Asia


Not just Nehru, China's 1962 war on India also a counter to Mao's secrets

The Print, October 21, 2022

The 1962 war worked to China's advantage. Nehru died a broken man in 1964 and Mao became the icon of many Asian and African liberation movements.
[read the article at theprint.in]

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Rise of Rakhine Rebels Poses Challenge for Myanmar Junta

The Irrawaddy, January 20, 2022

While heavy fighting has been raging in Myanmar's ethnic minority areas, Rakhine State in the west of the country has been largely peaceful. There, much to the miltary's chagrin, the political arm of the Arakan Army has used the peace to build up a separate administration in the state.
[read the article at www.irrawaddy.com]

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India's Dilemma Over Ties With Myanmar Military

The Irrawaddy, December 10, 2021

A little more than a month remains before India celebrates its Republic Day. Will the Myanmar coup leader be there, or won't he? And what price will India have to pay if he is not, or indeed if he is?
[read the article at www.irrawaddy.com]

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India, a prisoner of its past (PDF)

Biblio, July-September 2021

Bertil Lintner reviews Nehru, Tibet and China by Avtar Singh Bhasin, New Delhi 2021
[read the article (PDF)]

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China-India: contours of a conflict to come

Asia Times, June 29, 2021

India's deployment of 50,000 additional troops to its Chinese border underlines wider and escalating bilateral tensions
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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China risks a Himalayan water war with India

Asia Times, January 23, 2021

China's plan to dam the Yarlung Zangbao, the world's highest river, threatens to spark conflict with downstream India
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Rohingya refugees on an island of no return

Asia Times, December 21, 2020

Bangladesh is moving Rohingya refugees to an isolated island amid fears militant Islamic groups are penetrating border camps
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Behind China’s threat to support insurgency in India

Asia Times, October 30, 2020

Beijing's suggestion it may support ‘secessionist’ forces in India would mean revitalizing historic links with Naga rebels
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Bangladesh wins and loses in China-India rivalry

Asia Times, October 14, 2020

Beijing and New Delhi are hotly competing for influence in Bangladesh but Dhaka has good cause to be suspicious of both
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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US, India in a tentative anti-China embrace

Asia Times, August 10, 2020

US and India have a common interest in countering China in the Indian Ocean but a long history of bilateral mistrust runs deep
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Hegemony, not territory

India Today, July 18, 2020

What India must learn to counter China’s incursions on its borders and in its neighbourhood
[read the article at www.indiatoday.in]

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Why China wants a Himalayan dispute with Bhutan

Asia Times, July 12, 2020

China lays unprecedented claim to Bhutanese nature sanctuary in a manufactured dispute that aims ultimately to pressure India
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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China, India standoff more than a war over rocks

Asia Times, July 01, 2020

Himalayan standoff is more about wider strategic rivalry and the Belt and Road Initiative than disputed mountain borderlands
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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China shoots itself in the foot in the Himalayas

Asia Times, June 18, 2020

China's killing of 20 Indian soldiers and threat to slay more is latest aggression that is making foes of friends and driving its encirclement
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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India, China go toe-to-toe in New Cold War

Asia Times, May 28, 2020

New border tensions revive 1962 China-India war memories but this time US firmly in Delhi's camp
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Rohingya refugee camps a Covid-19 time bomb

Asia Times, March 20, 2020

Health officials say Bangladesh's overcrowded and unsanitary camps are dangerously prone to a coronavirus outbreak
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Sri Lanka’s transition opens the way for China

Asia Times, December 09, 2019

Rajapaksa clan’s return to power is good news for China’s various strategic interests in the country
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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China steals a Nepalese march on India

Asia Times, October 17, 2019

Xi Jinping’s first ever visit to Nepal underscored Himalayan nation’s shift towards Beijing and away from Delhi
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Eye on Kashmir, India's Nagas ring an alarm

Asia Times, August 26, 2019

Restive ethnic group fears Northeast India could be next to lose its special semi-autonomous status
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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No way home, no way out for Rohingya refugees

Asia Times, August 23, 2019

Failed repatriation try signals a permanent and increasingly destabilizing refugee population in Bangladesh
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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High hopes, hard realities for India’s Ladakh

Asia Times, August 22, 2019

Mountain border region's recent re-designation as a union territory has been welcomed locally but will likely raise hackles in China
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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In Maldives, India regains ground lost to China

Asia Times, June 20, 2019

A parliament versus judiciary battle underway in the island nation reflects changing political tides away from China and back towards India
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Where India quietly watches China at sea

Asia Times, December 10, 2018

India maintains one of its newest and best-equipped military bases on the remote and restricted Andaman Islands, from where it surveils and looks to counter China in nearby waters
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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China reaching deeper and deeper into Nepal

Asia Times, November 26, 2018

A planned Himalayan railway connecting China to Nepal will give the landlocked latter nation a vital new trade route but also stir security concerns in neighboring India
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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China takes the high ground in Nepal

Asia Times, August 26, 2018

Upcoming China-Nepal joint military exercises underline burgeoning bilateral relations that have eroded India's influence in the Himalayan republic
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Not a border dispute

India Today, January 12, 2018

The brief tug-of-war between India and China last July and August tells us a lot about the different ways in which those two countries view treaties and obligations under the international law.
[read the article at www.indiatoday.in]

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Hidden agenda behind China-India Himalayan showdown

Asia Times, August 21, 2017

It is now clear the military standoff is not really about Beijing building a road in an area disputed between China and Bhutan
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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China Turns on Charm Offensive for Himalayan Kingdom of Bhutan

YaleGlobal, September 22, 2016

Bhutan may be in the middle of a power play between regional rival--long-time protector India and China
[read the article at yaleglobal.yale.edu]

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Book Review: Portraits of an identity crisis

Asia Times, May 10, 2013

Bertil Lintenr review two recent books by Rajeev Bhattacharyya and Kishalay Bhattacharjee on the insurgencies in India's Northeast.
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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India's Treacherous Northeast

YaleGlobal, September 26, 2012

India battles separatist movements, ethnic conflict and foreigners jockeying for influence
[read the article at yaleglobal.yale.edu]

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Northeast India: Boiling Pot of International Rivalry - Part II

YaleGlobal, February 19, 2010

In Northeastern India, an icy and barren Tawang valley serves as the epicenter of a half a century old rivalry between India and China, writes Bertil Lintner.
[read the article at yaleglobal.yale.edu]

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Northeast India: Boiling Pot of International Rivalry - Part I

YaleGlobal, February 17, 2010

Northeast India, a melting pot of ethnic groups, with three international borders and territorial disputes, has emerged as a pit of rivalry and intrigues.
[read the article at yaleglobal.yale.edu]

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India stands by Myanmar status quo

Asia Times, November 14, 2007

Given China's apparent reluctance to push for democratic change in Myanmar, could India, the country's other key regional ally, be persuaded to use its influence to facilitate political change?
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Book Review: Bangladesh: The New Afghanistan?

Far Eastern Economic Review, December, 2005

Bertil Lintner reviews Hiranmay Karlekar's Bangladesh: The New Afghanistan?
[more]

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Economic Outlook: Bangladesh

Far Eastern Economic Review, February 13, 2003

Bangladesh's economy may grow at a rate of 5.4% this year, up from an estimated 4.2% during 2002. But the road ahead is far from smooth, if the country is to meet poverty reduction tagets.
[more]

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Bangladesh: Celebrations and Bombs

South Asia Intelligence Review, December 21, 2002

More than 3 million Muslim devotees from 52 countries gathered along the banks of the Turag river, 30 kilometers north of Dhaka in Bangladesh at Tongi, Gazipur, for the three-day annual Biswa Ijtema (World Congregation) between December 14 and 16. There were fears that international terrorist groups may have planned to disrupt the event.
[more]

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Nepal: Heading for a Showdown

Far Eastern Economic Review, October 24, 2002

No holding of elections; no laying down of arms; no dialogue with the government: Maoist rebels get tough as they prepare to go on the offensive. Plus an exlusive interview with Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist) Chairman Pushpa Kamal Dahal, and a look at the party's financing.
[more]

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Perspective: China and South Asia's east

Himal South Asia Magazine, October 2002

For economic and strategic reasons, Burma is crucial to both China and India. China has first-mover advantage but India has now woken up to the threat in the east. Meanwhile, the junta is looking less cohesive than it did.
[more]

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Nepal's Maoists prepare for final offensive

Jane's Intelligence Review, October 2002

There are signs that Nepal's Maoist insurgents may be preparing to wage a final offensive in accordance with their understanding of Maoist ideology. Bertil Lintner explores the methods, capabilities and resources of the group, and the government's attempts to counter the threat.
[more]

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Bangladesh: Championing Islamist Extremism

South Asia Intelligence Review, September 16, 2002

Bertil Lintner examines the connections between the Rohingya Muslims and Al Qaeda, and the Bangladeshi authorities' position on the matter.
[more]

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Is religious extremism on the rise in Bangladesh?

Jane's Intelligence Review, May 2002

Over recent years, Islamist schools have proliferated and extremist groups have become more vocal in Bangladesh, the world's third most populous Muslim country.
[more]

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Bangladesh - A Cocoon of Terror

Far Eastern Economic Review, April 4, 2002

Rising fundamentalism and religious intolerance are threatening secularism and moderate Islam. The implications for the region and beyond are grave, but it's not too late for a counter-revolution.
[more]

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The Phuket Connection

The Week, April 30, 2000

The tropical island of Phuket in southern Thailand with its luxury tourist hotels, diving schools and bars seems an unlikely centre for a major arms smuggling network. But for more than ten years, the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) has shipped weapons from a string of small fishing ports dotting the island.
[more]

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Nepal struggles to cope with diehard Maoist violence

Jane's Intelligence Review, June 1999

Taking Peru's Shining Path group as its role model, Nepal's Maoist insurgency has strengthened during the past three years to its current position, which threatens the country's political stability.
[more]

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Commercial Sex and the Daughters of Nepal

The Nation (Bangkok), June 06, 1999

Many of the girls of Nepal have been trapped in India's booming sex industry, and the sex trade is expanding as the poor get poorer, writes Bertil Lintner in the hilltop village of Ichok.
[more]

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